Every morning brief

• The Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026: 92% YESFriday, 30 October 2026
• Vivek Ramaswamy Amy Acton Ad Decision: 79% NOThursday, 29 October 2026
• No next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027: 54% NOWednesday, 28 October 2026
• The margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire: 68% NOTuesday, 27 October 2026
• Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwrite: 92% YESMonday, 26 October 2026
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election: 90% YESSunday, 25 October 2026
• Oscars 2027 Best Supporting Actor Winner Odds: 93% NOSaturday, 24 October 2026
• The Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026: 81% YESFriday, 23 October 2026
• Kamala Harris announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 20: 68% NOThursday, 22 October 2026
• Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections: 72% YESWednesday, 21 October 2026
• Élisabeth Borne 2027 French Presidential Election: 95% NOTuesday, 20 October 2026
• Alaska Governor-Senate Combo Disagreement: 85% NOMonday, 19 October 2026
• Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards: 74% YESSunday, 18 October 2026
• Inde Navarrette Best Actress Odds: 82% NOSaturday, 17 October 2026
• Trump Cabinet Departure Odds: 87% NOFriday, 16 October 2026
• The German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026: 52% NOThursday, 15 October 2026
• Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania: 87% YESWednesday, 14 October 2026
• Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the Oscars: 72% YESTuesday, 13 October 2026
• Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards: 72% YESMonday, 12 October 2026
• Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards: 72% YESSunday, 11 October 2026
• Next Prime Minister of Spain Election Agreement: 84% NOSaturday, 10 October 2026
• Anthropic IPO Lead Bank Disagreement: 86% NOFriday, 09 October 2026
• Next Prime Minister of Spain Election Agreement: 80% NOThursday, 08 October 2026
• Robert Pattinson Oscar Odds Disagreement: 85% NOWednesday, 07 October 2026
• Next Prime Minister of Spain Election Agreement: 82% NOTuesday, 06 October 2026
• Lula Re-election 2026: 83% NOMonday, 05 October 2026
• GPT-6.1+ Astra Release Probability: 77% NOSunday, 04 October 2026
• Anthropic IPO Timing Disagreement: 81% NOSaturday, 03 October 2026
• Republicans Win North Carolina Senate 2026: 79% NOFriday, 02 October 2026
• Trump recognize Somaliland: 71% NOThursday, 01 October 2026
• The Democratic party win the governorship in Vermont: 70% NOWednesday, 30 September 2026
• Republicans Win New Hampshire Senate 2026: 89% NOTuesday, 29 September 2026
• New Hampshire Governor Election Agreement: 93% NOMonday, 28 September 2026
• Florida Republican Governorship Odds: 78% NOSunday, 27 September 2026
• Trump Recognizes Somaliland Before 2027: 91% NOSaturday, 26 September 2026
• New Hampshire Governor Election Winner: 95% NOFriday, 25 September 2026
• Trump Recognizes Somaliland Before 2027: 91% NOThursday, 24 September 2026
• No one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027: 52% YESWednesday, 23 September 2026
• Victor Ponta Becomes Romania's Next PM: 98% NOTuesday, 22 September 2026
• New Zealand Prime Minister After Election: 74% NOMonday, 21 September 2026
• Trump Recognizes Somaliland Before 2027: 88% NOSunday, 20 September 2026
• Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa: 62% YESSaturday, 19 September 2026
• The Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026: 72% YESFriday, 18 September 2026
• The Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026: 88% YESThursday, 17 September 2026
• North Carolina Senate Closest Race in 2026: 93% NOWednesday, 16 September 2026
• Mircea Geoană Next Romanian Prime Minister: 99% NOTuesday, 15 September 2026
• No one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027: 64% YESMonday, 14 September 2026
• Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania: 75% NOSunday, 13 September 2026
• 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026: 82% YESSaturday, 12 September 2026
• Ben Shelton 2026 US Open Men's Singles Title: 63% NOFriday, 11 September 2026
• United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary electio: 69% YESThursday, 10 September 2026
• Alexander Zverev OR Ben Shelton win the 2026 US Open men's singles title: 75% YESWednesday, 09 September 2026
• Victor Ponta Becomes Romania's Next PM: 98% NOTuesday, 08 September 2026
• Republican Florida Senate Special Election 2026: 91% NOMonday, 07 September 2026
• Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards: 53% YESSunday, 06 September 2026
• 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026: 54% YESSaturday, 05 September 2026
• 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026: 68% NOFriday, 04 September 2026
• Jannik Sinner OR Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title: 57% NOThursday, 03 September 2026
• GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026: 90% YESWednesday, 02 September 2026
• Eugen Tomac Next Romanian Prime Minister: 75% NOTuesday, 01 September 2026
• Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwrite: 68% YESMonday, 31 August 2026
• New Hampshire Senate Margin of Victory: 98% NOSunday, 30 August 2026
• North Carolina Senate Margin of Victory Disagreement: 95% NOSaturday, 29 August 2026
• Victor Ponta Becomes Romania's Next PM: 98% NOFriday, 28 August 2026
• AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: 78% YESThursday, 27 August 2026
• Outcome of India vs Sri Lanka Test series (Aug 2026): 55% NOWednesday, 26 August 2026
• Republicans Win Florida Senate 2026: 88% NOTuesday, 25 August 2026
• Outcome of India vs Sri Lanka Test series (Aug 2026): 58% NOMonday, 24 August 2026
• Trump Recognizes Somaliland Before 2027: 92% NOSunday, 23 August 2026
• Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin: 72% YESSaturday, 22 August 2026
• Trump Recognizes Somaliland Before 2027: 90% NOFriday, 21 August 2026
• The margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolin: 66% NOThursday, 20 August 2026
• Next Italian Prime Minister Odds: 92% NOWednesday, 19 August 2026
• Anthropic IPO Lead Bank Disagreement: 76% NOTuesday, 18 August 2026
• The margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire: 79% NOMonday, 17 August 2026
• Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 74% YESSunday, 16 August 2026
• Fed rate hike in 2026: 67% NOSaturday, 15 August 2026
• North Carolina Senate Closest Race in 2026: 94% NOFriday, 14 August 2026
• Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islan: 94% YESThursday, 13 August 2026
• The margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolin: 67% NOWednesday, 12 August 2026
• Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary: 79% YESTuesday, 11 August 2026
• Florida Republican Governor Primary 2nd Place Finisher: 79% NOMonday, 10 August 2026
• Burgas host Eurovision 2027: 74% YESSunday, 09 August 2026
• Fed rate hike in 2026: 53% YESSaturday, 08 August 2026
• Trump Recognizes Somaliland Before 2027: 92% NOFriday, 07 August 2026
• The Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026: 91% YESThursday, 06 August 2026
• The Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026 — 91% YESWednesday, 05 August 2026
• The margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolin — 73% NOTuesday, 04 August 2026
• Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania — 54% NOMonday, 03 August 2026
• Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia — 56% NOSunday, 02 August 2026
• Republicans Win Idaho Senate 2026 — 93% NOSaturday, 01 August 2026
• Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026 — 51% NOFriday, 31 July 2026
• Sofia host Eurovision 2027 — 65% YESThursday, 30 July 2026
• Fed rate hike in 2026 — 74% YESWednesday, 29 July 2026
• Trump and Putin 2026 Meeting Location — 95% NOTuesday, 28 July 2026
• Trump recognize Somaliland — 69% NOMonday, 27 July 2026
• North Carolina Senate Closest Race in 2026 — 97% NOSunday, 26 July 2026
• Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? — 81% NOFriday, 24 July 2026
• Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? — 81% NOThursday, 23 July 2026
• Trump Recognizes Somaliland Before 2027 — 91% NOWednesday, 22 July 2026
• Trump recognize Somaliland — 70% NOTuesday, 21 July 2026
• Next James Bond Film Actor Cast Disagreement — 66% NOMonday, 20 July 2026
• Trump Recognizes Somaliland Before 2027 — 93% NOSunday, 19 July 2026
• Russia NATO Invasion Probability Disagreement — 86% NOSaturday, 18 July 2026
• Jean-Luc Mélenchon be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election — 91% YESFriday, 17 July 2026
• Trump recognize Somaliland — 67% NOThursday, 16 July 2026
• Trump Recognizes Somaliland Before 2027 — 93% NOWednesday, 15 July 2026
• Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? — 91% NOTuesday, 14 July 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 88% NOMonday, 13 July 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 88% NOSunday, 12 July 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 88% NOSaturday, 11 July 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 88% NOFriday, 10 July 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 88% NOThursday, 09 July 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 88% NOWednesday, 08 July 2026
• SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31 — 52% NOTuesday, 07 July 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 88% NOMonday, 06 July 2026
• JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Jul 1, 2027 — 63% NOSunday, 05 July 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 84% NOSaturday, 04 July 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 84% NOFriday, 03 July 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 84% NOThursday, 02 July 2026
• Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026 — 94% NOWednesday, 01 July 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 84% NOTuesday, 30 June 2026
• Trump Recognizes Somaliland Before 2027 — 88% NOMonday, 29 June 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 84% NOSunday, 28 June 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 84% NOSaturday, 27 June 2026
• Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027 — 84% YESFriday, 26 June 2026
• Dan Sullivan Alaska Senate 2026 — 80% NOThursday, 25 June 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 84% NOWednesday, 24 June 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 84% NOTuesday, 23 June 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 84% NOMonday, 22 June 2026
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026 — 89% YESSunday, 21 June 2026
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026 — 87% YESSaturday, 20 June 2026
• Dan Sullivan Alaska Senate 2026 — 78% NOFriday, 19 June 2026
• J.D. Vance Presidential Run Before 2027 — 86% NOWednesday, 10 June 2026